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Economy

Pete Hegseth speaks behind a podium as Donald Trump watches behind him.
Mark Zandi warns recession odds are creeping toward 50%, and the Iran war could launch us into economic turmoil by midyear

As oil steadily climbs above $100 per barrel and Iran rejects a U.S. peace proposal, Moody’s chief economist says recession odds are only getting worse.

By Sasha RogelbergMarch 25, 2026
People on a breakwater backdropped by commercial vessels anchored in the Gulf, near the Strait of Hormuz, on March 22, 2026 in Ajman, United Arab Emirates.
Trump wrote the tariff playbook. Now Iran is using it on the world’s most important oil route.
By Eva RoytburgMarch 25, 2026
University graduate
Harvard may be under federal investigation and cost over $87,000 a year—but it’s still Gen Z’s No. 1 ‘dream college’
By Preston ForeMarch 25, 2026
Working woman standing outside office happy
Surgeons, airline pilots, and software developers are becoming the hottest roles for female representation—and most jobs pay over $100,000
By Emma BurleighMarch 25, 2026
worker
Workers around the world are scared. A massive new survey shows just how much
By Nick LichtenbergMarch 25, 2026
Latest Stories
Big TechMeta and YouTube found liable in landmark child social media harm case, ordered to pay $3 million—with punitive damages still to come
By Kaitlyn Huamani, Barbara Ortutay and The Associated PressMarch 25, 2026
NewslettersThe ROI for AI isn’t one-size-fits-all, says data storage CTO
By John KellMarch 25, 2026
PoliticsTrump taps Zuckerberg, Huang, Ellison for tech advisory council—but excludes Musk and Altman
By Sharon GoldmanMarch 25, 2026
jeremy wacksman
Real EstateThe median first-time homebuyer is now 40. Zillow’s CEO says don’t expect that to change anytime soon
By Jake AngeloMarch 25, 2026
EuropeRishi Sunak is giving advice to CEOs on AI. Here are his golden rules
By Kamal AhmedMarch 25, 2026
Law‘I want everybody to have enough food’: the scientist who made your packaged food safer just won the world’s most prestigious food prize
By The Associated Press and Hannah FingerhutMarch 25, 2026
NewslettersAlix Earle knows exactly how to launch a brand in 2026
By Emma HinchliffeMarch 25, 2026
SuccessJPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon says remote work breeds ‘rope-a-dope politics’ and stunts young workers’ growth
By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezMarch 25, 2026
More EconomyPage 10 of 100
Saad Sherida al-Kaabi, Qatar's Energy Minister
EnergyIran conflict could ‘bring down the economies of the world,’ warns one of the Middle East’s biggest energy exporters
By Tristan BoveMarch 6, 2026
labor
Economy‘The job market is struggling in the face of so many headwinds’: labor market reels at unexpected 92,000 loss
By Paul Wiseman, Anne D'Innocenzio and The Associated PressMarch 6, 2026
picture of bitcoin
CryptoBitcoin dives again after disappointing jobs report, ending midweek rally
By Carlos GarciaMarch 6, 2026
A young man browning through a records section at a music store
EconomySubscription burnout has made Gen Z fall in love with all things physical. ‘Amazon’s not going to come into your house and take your DVD’
By Tristan BoveMarch 6, 2026
anthropic research chart
AIAnthropic just mapped out which jobs AI could potentially replace. A ‘Great Recession for white-collar workers’ is absolutely possible
By Jake AngeloMarch 6, 2026
Stressed Gen Z pharmacy worker
SuccessGen Z graduates who majored in ‘AI-proof’ careers like pharmacy, biology, and education are making less than $50,000 after graduation
By Emma BurleighMarch 6, 2026
lagos
Workplace CultureNigerian Gen Zers can’t afford the traditional table culture of clubs—and now rave culture is thriving
By Ope Adetayo and The Associated PressMarch 6, 2026
OAKLAND, CA - APRIL 17: A job seeker looks at job listings posted at the East Bay Works One-Stop Career Center April 17, 2009 in Oakland, California. The California state unemployment rate surged to 11.2 percent in March, the highest level since 1941 when unemployment was 11.7 percent. An estimated 2.1 million Californians are out of work. . (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images)
EconomyThe abysmal February jobs report shatters hopes of a labor market recovery for 2026 and leaves the Fed ‘between a rock and a hard place’
By Eva RoytburgMarch 6, 2026
post
EconomyThe Postal Service will run out of cash within a year, Postmaster General warns: ‘We have to have a conversation with the American public’
By Susan Haigh and The Associated PressMarch 6, 2026
Photo: US President Donald Trump during an event with Inter Miami CF in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC, US, on Thursday, March 5, 2026. Inter Miami CF is visiting the White House to celebrate their 2025 championship win.
PoliticsIran is turning out to be a more effective enemy than many thought, and U.S. allies are losing their patience with the war
By Jim EdwardsMarch 6, 2026
U.S. Secretary of Treasury Scott Bessent
EconomyThe Treasury may need to borrow an extra $1.6 trillion to cover the hole left by tariff ruling and pay a further $400 billion in debt interest
By Eleanor PringleMarch 6, 2026
Europe‘Technology is our superpower’: Africa and India take a seat at the top table as AI revolution spreads
By Kamal AhmedMarch 6, 2026
education
AIWe’re economists who designed a chatbot to help our students reason instead of cheat. Meet ‘Macro Buddy’
By Saharnaz Babaei-Balderlou, Shishir Shakya and The ConversationMarch 6, 2026
hegseth
Middle EastPete Hegseth called it ‘quiet death’—the first time a U.S. sub fired a torpedo and hit an enemy ship since the 1940s
By James Dwyer and The ConversationMarch 6, 2026
rail
CommentaryCongress is about to chase rail freight onto American roads. It risks thousands of deaths
By Michael F. GormanMarch 6, 2026
hormuz
CommentaryHung up on Hormuz: the old-world order of oil was just shattered by the closing of Iran’s key global chokepoint
By Siddharth MisraMarch 6, 2026
An older and younger man embrace at an airport.
Middle East23,000 canceled flights and debris raining on Dubai hotels: The Iran war is jeopardizing the $12 trillion global travel industry
By Sasha RogelbergMarch 6, 2026
Paul Krugman speaking while seated on stage.
Middle EastThe Iran conflict will be the ’straw that breaks the camel’s back’ for the U.S. economy if it goes on much longer, Nobel laureate Paul Krugman warns
By Tristan BoveMarch 6, 2026
AsiaEconomist Eswar Prasad warns a ‘motley group’ of middle powers can’t stop the ‘doom loop’ threatening the global economy
By Nicholas GordonMarch 6, 2026
Middle EastTrump will take ‘any assistance from any country’ including asking Zelenskyy and Ukraine for help on countering Iran’s Shahed drones
By The Associated PressMarch 5, 2026
li qiang
AsiaChina just set its lowest economic growth target since 1991
By Ken Moritsugu, Chan Ho-Him and The Associated PressMarch 5, 2026
trump
EnergyTrump has been pushing India to stop buying Russian oil, but he just cut off their massive supply from Iran
By Anton L. Delgado, Aniruddha Ghosal and The Associated PressMarch 5, 2026
markets
EconomyDow drops 1,000 as oil spikes on Trump’s Middle Eastern regime change adventure
By Stan Choe and The Associated PressMarch 5, 2026
mercedes benz
LawAlmost every Democratic AG just sued Trump over tariff refunds, demanding money back now
By Lindsay Whitehurst, Paul Wiseman and The Associated PressMarch 5, 2026
donald trump
EconomyTrump touts tariffs as a budget fix. But the brutal truth is ‘they’re very weak’ and barely dent the $39 trillion national debt
By Jake AngeloMarch 5, 2026
President Donald Trump speaking after the Supreme Court ruled most of his tariffs illegal in February.
EconomyFed survey reveals Trump’s tariff gut punch to the backbone of the U.S. economy: small business
By Tristan BoveMarch 5, 2026
Stressed high income woman
SuccessEven most six-figure earners say buying a house is unattainable—half of Americans can’t afford to dine out or vacation in a cost of living crisis
By Emma BurleighMarch 5, 2026
trump
EconomyTrump’s loss of $1.7 trillion in tariff revenue will send the national debt to $58 trillion by 2036, think tank projects
By Nick LichtenbergMarch 5, 2026
Current price of Bitcoin for March 5, 2026
Personal FinanceCurrent price of Bitcoin for March 5, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerMarch 5, 2026
EnergyAsia faces an energy shock from the Iran war and a closed Strait of Hormuz, as governments halt exports and draw down stockpiles
By Angelica AngMarch 5, 2026
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Palantir’s billionaire CEO says only two kinds of people will succeed in the AI era: trade workers — ‘or you’re neurodivergent’An image of a popular article
By Fortune EditorsMarch 24, 2026
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