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Marvell Technology was founded in 1995 in Santa Clara, California, originally to design silicon for hard-disk drive read channels. Over time, it evolved from a storage-focused chip maker into a leading fabless semiconductor company centered on data infrastructure. Today, Marvell designs custom silicon for compute, connectivity, storage, and security, serving cloud, carrier, enterprise, automotive, and industrial customers. Its portfolio includes networking processors, switches, Ethernet controllers and PHYs, optical interconnects, SSD and HDD controllers, and related system solutions.

Q2 2027

Q1 2027

Q4 2026

Marvell Technology (MRVL): Company Profile, Stock Price, News, Rankings

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Marvell Technology

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Good afternoon, and welcome to Marvell Technology Incorporated second quarter of fiscal year 2027 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. Please note this event is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to Mr. Ross Seymore, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Marvell's second fiscal quarter 2027 earnings call. Joining me today are Matt Murphy, Marvell's Chairman and CEO, Dan Durn, CFO, Chris Koopmans, President and COO, and Sandeep Bharathi, President of our Data Center Group. Let me remind everyone that certain comments made today include forward-looking statements, which are subject to significant risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from management's current expectations.

Please review the cautionary statements and risk factors contained in our earnings press release, which we filed with the SEC today and posted on our website, as well as our most recent 8-K, 10-K, 10-Q, and other documents that we file from time to time with the SEC. We do not intend to update our forward-looking statements. During our call today, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation between our GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures is available in our earnings press release. Let me now turn the call over to Matt for his comments on the quarter. Matt?

Thanks, Ross, and good afternoon, everyone. Before I discuss our results and outlook, I want to briefly highlight two management transitions that occurred during our last quarter. First, Willem Meintjes stepped down as Marvell's CFO in mid-June. I deeply appreciate Willem's steady hand, leadership, and tireless commitment to transforming Marvell over his decade with the company, and I greatly respect his desire to spend more time with his family.

To ensure a seamless transition, we simultaneously welcome Dan Durn as our new CFO. Dan brings more than three decades of experience in senior finance roles across semiconductor and enterprise technology companies. Having most recently served on Marvell's Board of Directors, Dan comes into the role with a deep understanding of our business and strategy, as well as a unique appreciation for the significant growth opportunities at Marvell ahead.

Second, in July, we began a transition in our investor relations leadership. After eight years with Marvell, Ashish Saran will retire from the company in April 2027. I want to personally thank Ashish for his leadership, partnership, and countless contributions to Marvell. I also appreciate the thoughtfulness and care he has brought to planning this transition, including helping us identify the right successor. On that front, I am very pleased to welcome Ross Seymore, who comes to us from Deutsche Bank, where he covered the semiconductor industry for more than 25 years. Warm welcome to you, Dan and Ross.

Now let me move on to our results and outlook. For the second quarter of fiscal 2027, Marvell delivered record revenue of $2.739 billion, reflecting 13% sequential and 37% year-over-year growth. Revenue and non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.94 both exceeded the midpoint of guidance. On our last earnings call, we increased our sequential revenue growth expectation for the third and fourth quarters of this fiscal year to double-digit percentage growth, up from our prior outlook of high single-digit growth.

Since then, our outlook has continued to strengthen, and we now expect revenue growth to further accelerate in the second half. The strength is reflected in our guidance for the third quarter of fiscal 2027, where we expect total company revenue of $3.15 billion at the midpoint, representing growth of 15% sequentially and more than 50% year-over-year. We expect growth to further accelerate in the fourth quarter, both sequentially and year-over-year.

As a result, we now expect overall Marvell revenue in fiscal 2027 to grow approximately 45% year-over-year to roughly $12 billion, up from our prior outlook of approximately $11.5 billion just one quarter ago. The increase in our revenue outlook continues to be driven by our data center business, which we now expect to grow by approximately 60% this fiscal year, up from our prior expectation of approximately 50%. Importantly, this growth remains broad-based. Interconnect continues to lead the way, while our custom business is expected to ramp significantly in the second half.

For our communications and other end markets, the trajectory remains largely as expected. Despite typical quarter-to-quarter lumpiness in these businesses, we currently expect fiscal 2027 growth to approach our 10% target. Looking ahead to fiscal 2028, aggregate demand continues to accelerate, and our operations team is doing an outstanding job securing additional supply despite pervasive industry-wide constraints. As a result, we now expect Marvell's data center revenue to grow more than 60% year-over-year in fiscal 2028, driven by strong growth across all of our key data center businesses.

This includes custom more than doubling, as we indicated last quarter. We look forward to providing a deeper dive into the specific drivers of our longer-term growth at our Investor Day in New York City on October 6, but the key takeaway for today is clear. The strength of our data center business continues to exceed our prior expectations. Putting it all together, we now expect fiscal 2028 revenue of approximately $18 billion, up $1.5 billion from the $16.5 billion outlook we provided just one quarter ago. Importantly, even as our revenue base becomes significantly larger, our growth rate is accelerating.

We now expect fiscal 2028 revenue to grow approximately 50% year-over-year, compared with approximately 45% in our prior outlook. With that, let me provide color on our current business, beginning with data center. In our data center end market, we delivered record second quarter revenue of $2.17 billion, representing 18% sequential growth and 46% year-over-year growth. Both sequential and year-over-year growth accelerated from the first fiscal quarter, when data center revenue increased 11% sequentially and 27% year-over-year.

Looking ahead to the third fiscal quarter, we expect this acceleration to continue, with data center revenue forecasted to grow more than 20% sequentially and roughly 75% year-over-year. The drivers of this growth remain very broad-based as AI demand for our products continues to rise. We are seeing strong tailwinds across each of our data center businesses, including interconnect, switching and custom. Connectivity continues to be a critical enabler of AI performance, driven by robust demand for both our interconnect and switching products.

Thus far, the largest driver of growth for these businesses has been for scale-out applications. Here, Marvell's market-leading franchises in optical DSPs, switching, and broadband analog components continue to see significant demand. On the optical DSP side, 800 G demand remains strong, while our 1.6 T business is ramping rapidly, a trend we expect to accelerate further in FY 2028. Within scale-out switching, our business remains on track to more than double this year, driven by a strong ramp in our 51.2 T products across a broadening array of customers.

Within broadband analog, demand for our industry-leading TIAs and drivers continues to exceed expectations. Moving beyond scale-out, we expect this connectivity strength to broaden as hyperscalers build significantly larger AI clusters that increasingly span multiple data centers. As we have discussed on prior calls, aggregate bandwidth requirements for these scale-across networks are projected to be more than 10 times greater than those of current front-end DCI networks.

Marvell is ideally positioned to address this opportunity through our leadership in coherent DSP-enabled 1.6 T ZR and ZR+ DCI modules. Finally, we continue to expect the adoption of scale-up networking and AI infrastructure to create a massive new TAM for Marvell. Scale-up domains are expected to become significantly larger, requiring high bandwidth interconnects closely coupled with high radix, low latency switches.

While customers are initially deploying copper interconnect for scale-up networking, as cluster sizes grow, the reach and bandwidth limitations of copper are increasingly driving customers towards optical interconnects, as well as purpose-built UALink, ESUN and NVLink scale-up switches. As a result, we are investing aggressively to lead the industry in next generation scale-up optical interconnect and switching technologies. On the interconnect side, pluggable modules remain the primary form factor for scale-out networks, and we do not expect that to change.

However, the significantly higher bandwidth density required by scale-up networks is best served by bringing optics much closer to XPUs and switches. While the transition in scale-up networks from copper to optics is expected to take several years, with both technologies coexisting, customers are aggressively planning scale-up optics deployments starting as early as next year.

Given how early we are in this transition, customers are evaluating a broad range of potential solutions with multiple technologies under consideration, including NPO and CPO packaging options, with both leveraging advanced silicon photonics as well as three different modulator technologies: MZM, EAM and MRM. Each of these choices has different considerations around cost, power and technology maturity.

Importantly, given the breadth of our optical portfolio across modulation technologies, fully supported by our broadband analog TIAs and drivers, Marvell is uniquely positioned to help customers move towards the optical scale-up architecture that best meets their needs. The full spectrum of Marvell-developed solutions is reflected in accelerating design activity with a broad set of customers. In addition to our ongoing success in CPO, we are also seeing a strong adoption of our NPO solutions at multiple customers.

As a result, our fiscal 2028 revenue outlook for scale-up optics has increased meaningfully compared to prior expectations, positioning Marvell to be one of the largest enabler of NPO in AI infrastructure. Moving to scale-up switching, we are seeing similar momentum. Marvell is uniquely positioned to support all three purpose-built scale-up protocols through our internally developed UAL and ESUN switches, as well as our expanded partnership with NVIDIA around NVLink Fusion.

Our scale-up switches leverage decades of experience developing large radical-sized switch silicon, combined with our in-house best-in-class high performance SerDes technology. The close coupling of optics and switching in scale-up networks provides another important differentiator for Marvell, given our market leading positions in both technologies. This allows us to deliver highly optimized scale-up solutions designed to provide customers with exceptional performance and reliability while accelerating time to market.

As a result, we are engaged in multiple deep discussions with tier one customers across our scale-up switch portfolio, with each engagement representing a multi-billion dollar lifetime revenue opportunity given the expected size of the scale-up TAM. Taken together, we are extremely excited about the continued acceleration and broadening of networking demand as AI architectures require ever-increasing performance across scale-out, scale-across and scale-up domains. Okay, now let's turn to the custom business within our data center end market.

As I mentioned earlier, we are seeing a significant acceleration in custom demand in the second half of this year. We remain confident that this business will more than double year-over-year in fiscal 2028 and accelerate significantly in fiscal 2029. We expect this growth to be driven by both our XPU and XPU-attached products. In XPUs, we continue to make strong progress across current and next generation programs at multiple hyperscalers.

In XPU attach, we are benefiting from increasing demand for both CXL and Custom NICs. Looking further ahead, we expect our custom business to continue to deliver strong revenue growth as we see ongoing robust design activity with hyperscale customers. The most recent example of this momentum is the 8-K we filed last week, disclosing an expanded commercial agreement and associated warrant with a key hyperscaler, one of the largest adopters of custom silicon.

The warrant agreement encompasses custom programs already in execution that were awarded to Marvell over the past several years, new design wins, and future potential programs. The warrant structure reflects the scale and long-term potential of the relationship and further aligns common interests as our work together expands. It spans a broad range of custom silicon programs, including those that attach to the TPU ecosystem, such as AI inference accelerators, storage controllers, network interface controllers, memory interface controllers, and near memory compute.

We look forward to continue working closely with this customer to enable the next generation of AI infrastructure. This expanding range of attached products and the scale of this agreement provides significant validation of the XPU attach category that Marvell has pioneered. We are excited to see both the use cases and attach rates for this category of products continue to broaden. These products are built upon a rich portfolio of Marvell IP and perform specialized functions designed to significantly improve the performance and efficiency of the overall AI data center.

This is another strong confirmation of Marvell's leadership in connectivity, compute, and memory technologies, and the increasingly important role they play in enabling our customers to design more advanced AI infrastructure. In terms of the impact of the new warrant agreement, revenue from programs covered by the agreement through fiscal 2028 is already reflected in the overall custom revenue target we have previously provided. Looking at fiscal 2029 and beyond, this agreement, along with several additional programs, gives us even greater confidence in our ability to grow the custom business to a significantly larger scale in that timeframe.

We look forward to sharing more details on the long-term trajectory of our custom business at our upcoming Investor Day. Turning to our communications and other end market, we delivered second quarter revenue of $568 million, down 3% sequentially and up 10% year-over-year. Going forward, we expect revenue to remain somewhat lumpy on a quarterly basis given the mix of businesses in this segment.

For the third fiscal quarter, we expect revenue to decline in the low to mid-teens percentage range, both sequentially and year-over-year, followed by a solid sequential recovery in the fourth quarter. To summarize, the momentum across our business remains exceedingly strong. In the near term, that strength is reflected in the significant increases to our outlook. Compared with the expectations we provided just one quarter ago, we have increased our fiscal 2027 revenue outlook by approximately $500 million and our fiscal 2028 outlook by approximately $1.5 billion.

The center of this higher outlook is our data center business, where growth continues to both accelerate and broaden. We've increased our forecast for data center revenue growth in fiscal 2027 from our prior expectation of 50% to approximately 60%, and we see potential for further acceleration in fiscal 2028. Within connectivity, we continue to see strength established in areas such as optical DSPs, while also seeing significant growth across broadband analog TIAs and drivers, scale across DCI modules, and scale-out switching.

Each of these three businesses is on or ahead of the trajectory toward the $1 billion annualized revenue run rate we highlighted last quarter. Scale-up opportunity remains massive and is still largely ahead of us. Marvell is ideally positioned for the transition toward NPO and CPO optical interconnects, as well as the adoption of purpose-built scale-up switches. Our custom business, including both XPU and XPU attach, is also on a strong growth trajectory, both near term and longer term.

The 8-K we filed last week highlights the expanded scope of our relationship with a key hyperscaler and reinforces our confidence in the increasingly important role custom silicon will play in the ongoing AI infrastructure build-out. We look forward to sharing more about the longer-term growth opportunities we see for Marvell at our Investor Day on October 6 in New York City, and we hope to see many of you there. Now with that, I'll turn the call over to Dan for more details on our recent results and outlook.

Thank you, Matt. Good afternoon, everyone. Before I get into the financials, since this is my first earnings call as Marvell's CFO, I want to spend a moment on three things. Why I joined Marvell, what I hope to accomplish as CFO, and what I believe that should ultimately mean for our stockholders. First, I joined Marvell because I believe the company has incredible growth potential. I believe Marvell is at a unique inflection point with a broad and diverse set of capabilities that have been intentionally built and are ideally aligned to enable the future of AI infrastructure.

Second, my goal as CFO is to help Marvell scale efficiently and effectively to capture what I expect to be a tremendous opportunity. The company has a strong history of disciplined execution, and maintaining that rigor will remain paramount as we strategically allocate capital to fuel our growth. Third, I expect that growth to translate into significant value creation for our stockholders. I recognize that the growth opportunity ahead must be matched by its quality, and I plan to remain intensely focused on expanding operating margins, growing cash flow, and driving attractive stockholder returns.

With that, let me turn to our financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2027. Revenue was $2.739 billion, growing 37% year-over-year and 13% sequentially. Data center was our largest end market, contributing 79% of total revenue and growing 46% year-over-year. GAAP gross margin was 53.1%. Non-GAAP gross margin was 58.9%, slightly above the midpoint of our guidance. Moving to operating expenses. GAAP operating expenses were $996 million, including stock-based comp, amortization of acquired intangible assets, restructuring costs, and acquisition related costs. Non-GAAP operating expenses were $611 million, slightly above our guidance.

GAAP operating margin was 16.8%, while non-GAAP operating margin was 36.6%. Non-GAAP operating margin expanded 180 basis points year-over-year and 160 basis points sequentially, demonstrating the significant operating leverage in our model. For the second quarter, GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.33. Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.94, a penny above the midpoint of our guidance, and up 40% year-over-year. Now turning to cash flow in the balance sheet.

Cash flow from operations was $606 million in the second quarter, down slightly quarter-over-quarter, primarily reflecting the higher capacity prepayments to suppliers in support of Marvell's future growth. Inventory at the end of the second quarter was $1.36 billion, down just slightly from the prior quarter. During the quarter, we repurchased $200 million of our common stock through our ongoing capital return program and returned $54 million to stockholders through cash dividends. At the end of the second quarter, total debt was $4.96 billion, with gross debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.32x and net debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.27x. Turning to our guidance for the third quarter of fiscal 2027.

We are forecasting revenue of $3.15 billion, ± 5%. We expect GAAP gross margin to be between 52.9% and 53.9%. We expect our non-GAAP gross margin to be between 57.5% and 58.5%. Revenue levels and product mix remain key determinants of gross margin in any given quarter, with the forecasted acceleration of our custom business creating the sequential headwind in the fiscal third quarter. We currently expect to maintain gross margin in this range in the fourth fiscal quarter.

We project GAAP operating expense of approximately $1.015 billion in fiscal Q3 and non-GAAP operating expenses of approximately $655 million. We expect GAAP other income and expense, including interest on our debt, to be an expense of approximately $86 million. On a non-GAAP basis, we expect other income and expense, including interest on our debt, to be an expense of approximately $36 million.

We expect a non-GAAP tax rate of 11%. Looking ahead, given the significant increase in our revenue and earnings outlook, we expect non-GAAP tax rate of approximately 13% in fiscal 2028. We expect basic weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 900 million and diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 921 million, both roughly flat with the second quarter. We anticipate GAAP earnings per diluted share of $0.48-$0.58. We expect non-GAAP earnings per diluted share of $1.05-$1.15.

As we look ahead, we intend to continue investing in our business to drive substantial revenue growth in the years ahead while delivering operating leverage. For fiscal 2027, we expect non-GAAP operating expenses of approximately $2.55 billion, slightly above our prior expectation of $2.45 billion, reflecting the significantly larger revenue opportunity we now see. Importantly, we expect revenue to continue growing substantially faster than operating expenses. As a result, we expect significant operating leverage, with non-GAAP operating margin likely to enter our 38%-40% long-term target range in Q4 of this fiscal year.

Looking ahead to fiscal 2028, we currently expect non-GAAP operating expenses to grow at roughly half the rate of revenue growth in percentage terms. This reflects continued investment against an expanding opportunity set, while yielding continued operating leverage to achieve the upper end of our target non-GAAP operating margin of 38%-40% as we progress through the year. Moving to cash usage. Based on the design wins we've secured and our confidence in the sustained customer demand, we're aggressively securing additional capacity to support our growth.

We remain on pace to make approximately $1 billion of capacity prepayments to suppliers in fiscal 2027, consistent with the guidance we provided last quarter. As a reminder, these prepayments will be applied against future material purchases and will be funded through our strong balance sheet and robust operating cash flow. In parallel, we intend to continue repurchasing shares to manage dilution. Now, let me come back to where I started. I joined Marvell because I believe the company has an exceptional opportunity ahead of it.

Having now stepped into the CFO role, I'm even more convinced of the incredible strength of our technology portfolio, our deep customer relationships, and the substantial long-term growth potential. Our job from here, it's to execute with discipline as we efficiently scale the company to capture that opportunity and ensure that our growth translates into expanding margins, strong cash flow, and compelling returns for our stockholders.

I'm honored to be Marvell's CFO at such an important point in the company's evolution, and I look forward to working with Matt and the rest of the team to deliver on the incredible opportunity we see ahead. With that, we're ready to start Q&A. Operator, please open the line and announce the instructions.

Thank you. We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star two if you would like to remove your question from the queue. In the interest of time, please restrict yourself to one question only. If you have additional questions, please rejoin the queue. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question comes from Tom O'Malley with Barclays. Please state your question.

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Appreciate it, and good results. I wanted to ask first on the warrants with Google. Obviously, a very robust relationship over a multi-year period of time. I would love if you could give a little color on what is contributing to that revenue. Obviously, you have an inference accelerator, but you talked a lot about XPU attach, which you guys did kind of start the industry standard on in terms of defining. So maybe, what XPU attach are you excited about there? Any sort of color you can give us on the percentage of contribution between the inference accelerator and some of the attached that you are seeing there.

Yeah, great. Hey, thanks, Tom. Good to hear from you. I think you captured it well. It is a very exciting time for Marvell. This engagement and warrant is significant. You can see that in the scale of the opportunity we have. As you pointed out, a couple things I would just validate. The first is it is very broad-based. It is a number of products and product lines, which is very exciting. It includes inference accelerators, as you mentioned, also storage controllers, NICs, memory interface controllers, near memory compute, a whole bunch of different products.

You are right, we did define what we call the XPU attach category a couple of years back. Actually, we gave quite a detailed view of that in our June 2025 custom silicon event. I think all of our projections to date have been under called, meaning that that opportunity continues to get more and more significant.

So it is a broad set of products, Tom, that are covered here, and it is very broad-based in terms of where we can engage and where we are going to contribute. I would not call out any one of them at the moment specifically, but all of them in total, you can see represent. If you look at the total envelope of the opportunity, it is just massive for Marvell and game-changing at the sort of peak performance of what could be achieved now over the next six and a half years.

Thank you. Your next question comes from Harlan Sur with JPMorgan. Please state your question.

Yeah, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question, and welcome to the team, Dan and Ross. Matt, given the Google commercial program you signed back in late July, $120 billion in cumulative [revs] over six years, if you hit all of your milestones, that puts you, if you just annualize it, at about $18.5 billion per year in revenues just in Google XPU attach custom ASICs, right? I actually thought that that would start to show up in fiscal 2028 or your calendar 2027, but given your guidance, looks like custom is still going to be around $5 billion-$6 billion in calendar 2027.

Maybe some of the big programs associated with this commercial agreement are more back-end loaded. Maybe the better question is, the team has previously targeted $10 billion-$11 billion in custom revenues in fiscal 2029 or calendar 2028. What does that number look like now based on the Google commercial agreement and some of the new programs associated with the agreement?

Yeah. Great questions, Harlan. Thank you. First, you're right. If you look out to next year, we have comprehended already revenue that would come as part of this warrant in our numbers. That's because some of these programs obviously are already in flight or have already started. But the programs ahead of us that are either in execution or just starting production, those will contribute much more significantly in fiscal 2029. For next year, all I've said, by the way, is that custom is going to over double. So I haven't capped it, I haven't sized it exactly, but it is going to over double next year.

Then you look out to fiscal 2029, where in our last call, I talked about a $10 billion kind of plus number for custom in fiscal 2029, which isn't a new number, by the way. That was something that we outlined back in June 2025, and even back in April 2024, we were talking about custom revenues in the $8 billion-$10 billion range.

So we've had a consistent view of what that can look like. This opportunity with this customer greatly, greatly increases the revenue opportunity for us in custom with some of that potentially starting in 2029. I am not going to size it on the call here today, but you should assume with our investor day coming up, Harlan, the Marvell team, we always do a thorough job in our Analyst Investor Days.

So you should expect a very robust, detailed review of how we step through the revenue, not just through fiscal 2029, but really out until the end of the decade. So we're excited to present that to everybody, which will then really help us contextualize the scale of the warrant that we just signed, along with all the other exciting programs we have in custom. So if you don't mind, hold tight on that one. There'll be more to come. But clearly there's a lot of upside bias in those numbers in fiscal 2029 and beyond in custom.

Yeah, absolutely. Looking forward to it. Thanks, Matt.

Your next question comes from Vivek Arya with Bank of America Securities. Please state your question.

Thanks for the question and best wishes to Dan and Ross. Matt, I was hoping you could give us an update on the other large XPU program that you're planning to start in the next year. I think the assumptions there are quite modest for next year, $600 million or $700 million or so, and I was hoping you could give us an update on that. What is the opportunity for that program over time?

Because that hyperscaler is just getting started on their XPU type, like every one of their competitors, I imagine they want to make that XPU program much larger than what it is. So, give us maybe an update on what the progress is. Can this be a really meaningful program for you over time?

Yeah, thanks, Vivek. We're very encouraged by our custom setup for next year on the double plus. That new program is clearly part of that. We've been judging that, I think, in a very conservative and practical manner as we've made progress. We continue to make progress every quarter, not only on design execution, but also supply commercials and figuring out the envelope of that opportunity. That's only gotten better.

So without quantifying it exactly, what I would say is from the last call, if you look at the $1.5 billion raise we're doing for next year, just at a high level, it's broad based. Some of that is from custom next year. There's also actually get another question on this one, but probably the most meaningful part of the next year raise is actually from the scale-up optics, switching in other areas, but custom is definitely part of it, Vivek.

Even when we size that opportunity, which goes back to a couple of years, we've always said that that is probably one of Marvell's largest revenue opportunities we have, and that's still the case. We're very encouraged by the prospects of this project. There'll be more to come, but it certainly is tracking, and we feel very good about next year and that layering in the year after and beyond.

Thank you. Your next question comes from Aaron Rakers with Wells Fargo. Please state your question.

Yeah, thanks for taking the question and welcome, Dan and Ross. Maybe kind of building on that last question a little bit, Matt, if you can maybe talk a little bit about what you're architecturally seeing in CXL and how that's evolving, obviously with the Structera product, and it seems to be a broadening ecosystem around that. Then, similar on an architectural perspective, any update on, you just touched on scale-up, optics, the Celestial AI numbers that you've previously outlined. How have those progressed relative to your initial targets? Thank you.

Sure. Let me start with CXL, and then we'll talk about scale-up optics. With respect to CXL, this investment we made organically over the years has really evolved, and it's turning out to be a home run for a couple of reasons. As you might recall, this started off as a server-centric, traditional compute-centric memory architecture. It turns out all that investment we've made is just ideal for memory expansion and inferencing.

We're seeing this technology now getting deployed at multiple hyperscalers with varying architectures, by the way, in extremely high volumes. One is just the demands of inferencing require it. The other is what we're seeing is as a result of the scarcity that's out there in memory, customers are modifying and adjusting their plans to actually use more of this type of technology. This is continuing to have strong upward bias.

We've actually secured additional design wins in this area in the last couple of quarters. We're going to outline all of that at the Investor Day, but that opportunity, Aaron, turns out to be massive. I think it's a case where the pivot we made about five years ago, where we really put the pedal to the metal on organic internal investment on a number of new technologies, this is one that's really bearing fruit. Very exciting, and you should expect to see a very comprehensive memory expansion section in our Investor Day presentation.

On scale-up optics, this is turning out to be, I think, one of the most exciting areas for us. Last quarter, the way we framed it was we had the Celestial AI CPO Photonic Fabric solution, which for reference, was about $150 million for next year. We had actually said that overall scale-up optics inclusive of that was about $300 million as a category. That includes NPO, by the way. As I said in my prepared remarks, all of that together, scale-up optics, is accelerating even further from the number I gave you last quarter.

A significant driver of the $1.5 billion raise we have for next year, Aaron, is coming from that area. It's not just a one-trick pony. I think that's the thing I want to stress to you is the CPO is absolutely a key part of it. It will be for next year and certainly the year after. But if I look at the opportunity set that's happening now at a much faster pace, in parallel with the CPO programs we have, is for NPO.

In NPO, we participate through a wide variety of design wins we have and partners. Some of those are with our broadband analog products in silicon germanium, both TIAs and drivers, which we have a significant market share and content, and also on our own organically developed NPO solution, which we call our light engine, which we've been in development on for several years, and we've shown it off at OFC for several years.

All of that as a category, Aaron, is really how we think about the business. Certainly, Celestial and Photonic Fabric is a key part of that. But what I want to stress is that this is not an or, it's an and. It's a little bit analogous to when people thought, well, there's 800 G DSPs, and then they're going to move to 1.6 T, and it's all going to just cut over. That's not how this works anymore. Our customers have varying architectures that they're pursuing. They have a number of different solutions that they're going to implement simultaneously.

We see this as an and, not an or, and I think the magnitude of our scale-up optics opportunity next year is much larger than we thought just a quarter ago. The year after is going to be, I think, way larger than I sort of could have ever comprehended back even last year when we were looking at Celestial. If you look at the solution we're providing, which will be my last comment, we are pedal to the metal on our switching roadmap and coupling those optical solutions with our switches, both UAL and ESUN, as well as being able to seamlessly integrate and architect with our customers on the XPU/GPU side.

All of that together, and having the end-to-end link that we are able to provide and the entire solution and the scale in manufacturing, R&D, the diversity of all the technologies we have in terms of packaging, modulator technologies, silicon photonics, a decade of experience there, it is a massive opportunity, and Marvell is very uniquely positioned to participate in it. We could not be happier with the Celestial team. They have integrated well. They are a key part of the program. This thing is going to be a much bigger overall business for Marvell. Thanks.

Your next question comes from Joe Moore with Morgan Stanley. Please state your question.

Thank you. Along the same lines, can you talk about your progress in copper scale up? You mentioned the sort of success across the three protocols. How do you think about copper scale-up as it transitions to optical? Are those initial successes foundational to what you do in optical, or are those sort of two separate decisions?

Yeah. Thanks, Joe. I think you're talking about from a switching perspective, right, as we implement those-

...those electrical/copper solutions, and then how does that success translate when we move to optical. A couple things. One is on the Ethernet side, we've seen great traction and success with our Teralynx architecture, which came from the acquisition we did of a company called Innovium back in 2021. That business has a significant head of steam on it. We've expanded the customer base. We're driving significant revenue there, and we've proven to the market that we can deliver these solutions in volume.

That translates itself, Joe, very seamlessly to scale-out. In fact, we're seeing even at 100 T, our scale-out solutions be applicable to scale-up as well. We're driving that independently of the optics or not. Same thing on UAL. We're aggressively investing in UAL switching. That product development's coming along nicely, and we certainly can intercept any electrical or copper-based solution there.

What customers really want to see, though, and that's why I'm spending time on it, is that's all great, and at this point, they trust us that we can deliver these very complex switching products because we've done it already. Which, by the way, is no small feat. There's been a lot of companies that have tried and failed to do these radical size, very complex Ethernet switches, and it's only getting harder with the SerDes performance and the speeds. But the next level of that, Joe, is that you then need to show a compelling, clear roadmap that you can execute with credibility on the optics side, both NPO and then all the way to full integration on CPO.

Our discussions, while certainly there's opportunities in the next few years that are going to come and we're going to have on the copper side, I think why we really win long term is because we convince our customers we can execute on the full end-to-end, which really is what our customers are looking for. At the end of the day, especially on scale-up, they need to bookend the link, and they need to trust that on both sides of it and everything in between, they've got a partner that can handle that job.

Point solutions at this juncture, we believe, are not going to get it done. You really have to have the end-to-end portfolio. That's what we're hearing from our customers, by the way. The existing silicon will do fine. It'll do great. But I am even more excited about the optics attach once that gets going over the next few years, because it just effectively almost doubles the SAM of the switching, in terms of the attach you can get. Thanks.

Your next question comes from Ben Reitzes with Melius Research. Please state your question.

Hey, guys. Thanks for the question. Hey, Dan and Ross. Hey, Matt. I want to go back to the Google deal. I think people are just wrestling with this, and I realize that you have a great Analyst Day coming, so don't shoot me. For FY 2027, if you look at the $120 billion over the course of the years, that's about $18 billion a year. At the $120 billion, divided by 6.5. That's like adding an FY 2028 Marvell every year. I realize that we don't know how much is incremental versus what's already in your guides, but are we talking like FY 2029 and FY 2030 big step-ups as a result of this incrementally?

Because these numbers are huge, and I know you're going to tell us at the Analyst Day, but I think we're all just trying to figure out how high to go in those out years, and is it at the comparable margin? Just any more color, if you're in our shoes, how we should handle it into Analyst Day or just wait. That would be great. Thanks.

Yeah. Hey, Ben. Thanks. By the way, fully valid question. When you look at the scale of this, your math is not wrong. What you can conclude from what I am saying is because most of this is comprehended already in next year, the big impact would be in 2029 and beyond. So if you took the full performance and the full opportunity, then you are right. It is just a monster number. What I would say, we do need the Analyst Day, though, I think you guys understand, to contextualize it and probably show some ranges of outcomes.

But you should assume in that timeframe that on the custom side, these numbers would be a lot larger than overall custom than anybody has been modeling so far. I think there has been doubt for years that we could even do the $8 billion-$10 billion. This should give, I think, investors comfort that we secured a pretty big set of programs, not just here, but across the broad range of our customer set. On the margins, just in general, this is custom business and we have got a financial model for custom.

We have got a financial model for our standard and merchant products. It would be in line with that. But it is significant, and I am not able to quantify it today for you, but you should assume starting in FY 2029 beyond, whatever you have modeled previously prior to the warrant for custom numbers definitely goes higher. How big, we will be happy to show the range of outcomes. But in the context of where Marvell was, Ben, we were an $8 billion company last year. We just took everybody to $12 billion this year. We have not even finished that year and $18 billion next year.

The rough math you do at full performance provides an incredible step up to the scale of the company if all those programs that come to fruition at their max performance. But I think what this is helpful to show is just the scale of the opportunity in general that Marvell is participating in, because we have significant engagements across the customer base.

This one is a little unique because of the warrant that given the magnitude and the equity side, we needed to disclose it. But I think you have seen over the last couple of years, we have entered into very strategic partnerships with other big players in the AI market, and some of that we have done publicly and some of that we are doing just on our own. I think one takeaway I would have right now is just a significant validation of where Marvell sits in the market today, and we are very honored to be a part of the ecosystem, the TPU ecosystem. We will see how it plays out.

I hope that's enough for now. I want to save a little bit of firepower for my Investor Day.

No, thank you, and I appreciate that, and congrats on that deal. I'll see you soon.

Your next question comes from C.J. Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please state your question.

Marvell Technology (MRVL) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

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