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Goldman raises recession odds to 30% on higher inflation, lower GDP outlook as oil prices surge

Goldman said it expected six weeks of Hormuz disruption, with Brent crude averaging $105 per barrel in March and $115 in April before retreating to $80.

By Nick LichtenbergMarch 25, 2026

shinkarovsky

The job market is so bad that ‘reverse recruiters’ are charging $1,500 a month just to help people look for jobs

By Jake AngeloMarch 25, 2026

Why QVC is making such a big bet on TikTok

By Phil WahbaMarch 25, 2026

trump

Iran, the $39 trillion national debt and dedollarization: How Trump exposed America’s Achilles Heel in Hormuz

By Nick LichtenbergMarch 24, 2026

A man in a green ERO vest walks through an airport terminal.

ICE agents can make twice the salary of TSA employees—and economists warn their pay is more ‘shutdown proof’ than other government jobs

By Sasha RogelbergMarch 24, 2026

Latest Stories

Personal Finance Today’s top high-yield savings rates: Up to 5.00% on March 25, 2026

By Glen Luke FlanaganMarch 25, 2026

Newsletters AI plot twist: Why did OpenAI kill its Sora video star?

By Alexei OreskovicMarch 25, 2026

retirement

Commentary Our retirement system gets a C-plus; policymakers have an opportunity to make it A grade

By Chris MahoneyMarch 25, 2026

America’s Most Innovative Companies

By Fortune EditorsMarch 25, 2026

david-f

Commentary Europe has survived 3 energy shocks in 4 years. The only way out is to stop buying power from its enemies

By David FrykmanMarch 25, 2026

Magazine Wall Street is convinced AI will kill SaaS. History and economics say something else

By Jeremy KahnMarch 25, 2026

C-Suite ‘We’ve become like Europe’: Jamie Dimon warns China is beating the U.S. as he says Iran war means a ‘better chance’ of permanent Middle East peace

By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezMarch 25, 2026

Personal Finance Mortgage rates today, March 25, 2026

By Glen Luke FlanaganMarch 25, 2026

More EconomyPage 2 of 100

Stressed rich man at desk

Success The K-shaped economy has left many six-figure earners ‘on thin ice’ as housing costs, lifestyle creep, and the job market put them at risk

By Emma BurleighMarch 22, 2026

Donald Trump, standing behind a podium, frowns and points a finger upward.

Economy ‘Almost exactly offsetting the boost’: Higher gasoline prices this year could wipe out tax refunds from Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act

By Sasha RogelbergMarch 22, 2026

AI OpenAI plans to almost double its headcount this year, FT says

By Liza Tetley and BloombergMarch 21, 2026

Arts & Entertainment BTS begins comeback tour to reclaim status as one of the world’s biggest pop acts after completing Korea’s mandatory military service

By Juwon Park, Kim Tong-Hyung, Hyung-Jin Kim and The Associated PressMarch 21, 2026

Politics The U.S. has the world’s most advanced military, but the unforgiving economics of wars in Iran and Ukraine show quantity has a quality all its own

By Jason MaMarch 21, 2026

Politics TSA officers are quitting rather than working without pay during another shutdown as eviction notices, car repos, and empty fridges weigh

By Rio Yamat and The Associated PressMarch 21, 2026

powell

Commentary The Strait of Hormuz is the fourth large supply shock this decade. Welcome to the new era of global disorder

By Jon HilsenrathMarch 21, 2026

Retail Costco CEO promises the $1.50 hot dog isn’t going away: ‘The price will not change as long as I’m around’

By Sydney LakeMarch 21, 2026

Success Covid gave us hybrid work. The Iran War might give us a four-day week—and this time, experts say it could stick

By Orianna Rosa RoyleMarch 21, 2026

gen z

Commentary The entry-level job market is the worst it’s been in 37 years. Stop blaming Gen Z

By Janelle Jones and Nia LawMarch 21, 2026

A woman looks frustrated a computer

AI Women are avoiding the very technology that threatens them most, as expert warns of a ‘two-tiered AI economy’ approaching

By Jacqueline MunisMarch 21, 2026

ILLUSTRATION - 17 February 2026, Bavaria, Munich: A beverage can with a soft drink and numerous sugar cubes lie on a table. Photo: Sven Hoppe/dpa (Photo by Sven Hoppe/picture alliance via Getty Images)

Energy Iran war is making the world a little less sweet as oil soars at the worst possible time for sugar

By Eva RoytburgMarch 21, 2026

US President Donald Trump, left, and Marco Rubio, US secretary of state, speak to members of the media on the South Lawn of the White House before boarding Marine One in Washington, DC, US, on Friday, March 20, 2026. US officials said the White House is sending more than 2,000 additional Marines to the Middle East as it weighs a plan to seize Iran's Kharg Island oil export hub, a ground operation that would carry huge risks for President Donald Trump.

Energy Three weeks into the Iran war that’s requested $200 billion, here’s what success for Trump might look like

By Jordan BlumMarch 21, 2026

Asia How the Strait of Hormuz poses an existential threat to Asia’s economies

By Nicholas GordonMarch 21, 2026

Economy Tariffs were already squeezing small businesses. Now the Iran conflict is pushing them to the brink as rising oil prices boost shipping costs

By Marco Quiroz-GutierrezMarch 20, 2026

Politics Trump says U.S. considers ‘winding down’ Iran military effort

By Jeff Mason, Courtney Subramanian and BloombergMarch 20, 2026

A man walks between two luxury cars with the skyline of Dubai in the background.

Retail The Middle East is one of the world’s fastest growing luxury markets—and the war in Iran may cut its sales in half, analysts say

By Sasha RogelbergMarch 20, 2026

Stressed out job seeker on laptop

Success Job seekers aren’t imagining things: the number of candidates ghosted by employers just reached a three-year high thanks to AI

By Emma BurleighMarch 20, 2026

Success AI boom is fueling demand for skilled trades—and demand for technicians, HVAC workers, and electricians is soaring, with six-figure salaries to match

By Preston ForeMarch 20, 2026

Investing 300 years of wars show they are ‘always disaster times’ for holders of government debt because of inflation and financial repression

By Jason MaMarch 20, 2026

Jerome Powell, wearing a suit, looks ahead with his brow furrowed.

Economy Economists agree: You’re not crazy for feeling like the rich get richer, and the poor are doing worse. Welcome to the ‘K-shaped economy’

By Sasha Rogelberg, Eva Roytburg and Nick LichtenbergMarch 20, 2026

Trump standing waving hi at a crowd

AI The White House has a plan for AI regulation, and it starts with keeping states out of it

By The Associated Press and Seung Min KimMarch 20, 2026

Current price of oil as of March 20, 2026

Personal Finance Current price of oil as of March 20, 2026

By Joseph HostetlerMarch 20, 2026

Photo: A-10 Thunderbolt Warthog.

Banking As the U.S. gears up for a potential ground war in Iran, $100-plus oil threatens ‘demand destruction’ — starting in Asia

By Jim EdwardsMarch 20, 2026

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference following the Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve Board Building in Washington, DC, on March 18, 2026.

Economy The next time the Fed moves it’ll be to hike, according to one economist—whether or not Trump gets his new Fed chair

By Eleanor PringleMarch 20, 2026

Success As Gen Z and CEOs alike slam ‘worthless’ degrees, one UK graduate has racked up $420,000 in student loans—more than the price of an average home

By Orianna Rosa RoyleMarch 20, 2026

Magazine For CEOs, it’s time for a wartime mindset

By Geoff ColvinMarch 20, 2026

Asia How an MBA internship led Mitsubishi to e-commerce platform Yami—and into the U.S. snacks market

By Nicholas GordonMarch 20, 2026

Economy China is becoming a ‘factory to the factories,’ powering global manufacturing in places like Southeast Asia even as U.S. trade declines

By Angelica AngMarch 20, 2026

test

Economy Gen Z’s straight‑A boom is quietly shrinking their paychecks

By Jake AngeloMarch 19, 2026

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The Treasury just declared the U.S. insolvent. The media missed it

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By Fortune EditorsMarch 23, 2026

The youngest-ever female CEO of a Fortune 500 company is fighting Trump's cuts to keep Medicaid strong

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By Fortune EditorsMarch 24, 2026

It took 200 years for national debt to hit $1 trillion. Annual interest alone now exceeds that—a 'crushing legacy we must reverse,' says budget chair

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By Fortune EditorsMarch 23, 2026

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