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Universal’s fury will have a major impact on TikTok, depriving it of some of the world’s most popular music

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David Meyer
David Meyer
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David Meyer
David Meyer
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January 31, 2024, 2:05 PM ET
Adele performs onstage during "Weekends with Adele" at The Colosseum at Caesars Palace on January 26, 2024 in Las Vegas, Nevada.
UMG artist Adele performs at the Colosseum at Caesars Palace on Jan. 26, 2024, in Las Vegas.Kevin Mazur—Getty Images for AD
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Starting today, TikTok users will no longer be able to set their videos to tunes from Taylor Swift, Bad Bunny, Billie Eilish, Drake, The Weeknd, Post Malone, Harry Styles, Adele, and many more artists. That’s because Universal Music Group (UMG), the industry’s most powerful player, has effectively waged war on ByteDance’s hit social media property.

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How big a problem could this be for TikTok? When a hip-hop account on X asserted that the news meant “the TikTok era of music is over,” the influential producer Metro Boomin shared the post with the message: “It’s about damn time.”

“I love the creativity and appreciation the kids show for the music on TikTok, but I don’t like the forced pandering from artists and labels that results in these lifeless and soulless records,” he explained.

So, how did we get here?

Back in the hazy days of the pandemic, TikTok struck licensing deals with UMG and other major players, like Sony and Warner, that did not give the music giants any share of TikTok’s revenues. That may have made sense at the time, as TikTok’s ad business hadn’t yet taken off, but this situation quickly changed. Now, as the dominant social network for young people, TikTok has upped its rates and is reportedly pulling in somewhere in the region of $20 billion in annual ad revenue—around 10 times as much as it was in early 2021 when UMG signed its TikTok deal.

That deal expires today and, according to a UMG open letter yesterday, TikTok has not only failed to offer more favorable terms in negotiations—it’s “attempted to bully us into accepting a deal worth less than the previous deal, far less than fair market value and not reflective of their exponential growth.”

“How did it try to intimidate us? By selectively removing the music of certain of our developing artists, while keeping on the platform our audience-driving global stars,” UMG elaborated. “TikTok proposed paying our artists and songwriters at a rate that is a fraction of the rate that similarly situated major social platforms pay. Today, as an indication of how little TikTok compensates artists and songwriters, despite its massive and growing user base, rapidly rising advertising revenue, and increasing reliance on music-based content, TikTok accounts for only about 1% of our total revenue. Ultimately TikTok is trying to build a music-based business, without paying fair value for the music.”

In a far briefer statement, TikTok claimed UMG had “put their own greed above the interests of their artists and songwriters” and was guilty of providing a “false narrative and rhetoric.” The statement didn’t specify where the falsehood lay, but a TikTok source suggested to AFP that UMG was trying to get the company to accept terms like those given to streaming platforms such as Spotify, whereas TikTok videos can only use up to 60 seconds of a song.

It’s also worth noting that AI plays a part in this mess. Even UMG, the industry’s heaviest heavyweight, has acknowledged that it will be impossible to ward off the AI-music collision, but it’s already had some early success in trying to shape it, last August striking a vague but promising agreement with Google on the subject.

According to UMG, TikTok is playing dirty by “allowing the platform to be flooded with AI-generated recordings—as well as developing tools to enable, promote, and encourage AI music creation on the platform itself—and then demanding a contractual right which would allow this content to massively dilute the royalty pool for human artists, in a move that is nothing short of sponsoring artist replacement by AI.” If true, that’s some major chutzpah on TikTok’s part, given that AI creations can’t be copyrighted and, depending on the AI-training material, may in themselves violate copyright.

To be sure, UMG’s artists will suffer in the short term because of this move—TikTok is a crucial marketing channel these days—and UMG has acknowledged this fact. But if Metro Boomin (a UMG artist) speaks for his peers, maybe they’re happy to snatch some of that power back out of TikTok’s hands. Either way, the reaction to watch will be that of TikTok’s many users. More news below.

PS Good luck to Elon Musk in trying to wrest 25% voting control out of the Tesla board, now that a Delaware judge has voided Musk’s absurd $55 billion pay package. Tesla directors’ lack of independence has now been called out in the most humiliating fashion, so to give in to his latest demand would be conspicuously craven.

PPS Congrats to Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon for seizing the top three spots in the latest Fortune World’s Most Admired Companies list, which came out today.

PPPS Fortune is always trying to make Data Sheet a more valuable newsletter for our readers. If you could take a couple of minutes to give your honest feedback and answer a few questions about your experience, I’d appreciate it. It shouldn’t take you more than five minutes. You can find the link below. Thanks!

David Meyer

Want to send thoughts or suggestions to Data Sheet? Drop a line here.

NEWSWORTHY

Abandoned plans. In the latest indication of its change of heart when it comes to augmented reality, Meta has reportedly axed development of the “augment” apps that would have run on future AR devices. However, according to The Information, it’s still working on augments for its Quest VR headsets. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reports that Adobe has now officially abandoned development of XD, the vector design product that rivals Figma, which Adobe gave up on buying as a result of regulatory opposition. It had already put XD on ice when it began its attempted Figma acquisition.

U.K. regulator eyes search. It isn’t just social media companies that need to pay heed to the massive push for online child safety. Per TechCrunch, the British media regulator Ofcom—which will enforce the country’s tough new Online Safety Act—commissioned a report into search results that found one in five results for self-injury searches provide direct links to harmful content promoting suicide, self-harm, and eating disorders.

More fintech layoffs. The latest Big Tech layoffs come in the fintech sector. The San Francisco Chronicle reports 2,500 job cuts at PayPal, representing around 9% of the venerable company’s workforce. Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reports that Jack Dorsey’s Block yesterday let go “hundreds of employees”—a vague estimate, but Dorsey said last November that around 1,000 jobs would have to go.

SIGNIFICANT FIGURES

62%

—The year-on-year rise in AMD’s quarterly client segment revenue, which the company mostly attributed to Ryzen 7000 Series CPU sales. Taken together with Intel’s recent results, it seems the tide has finally turned for the PC market.

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT

The death of Amazon’s iRobot deal has knock-down effects, as the unicorn corporate exit appears to be defunct, by Allie Garfinkle

Google has a surprise moneymaker: People are paying for YouTube, and it’s driving a $15 billion subscriptions business, by Alexandra Sternlicht

Taylor Swift deepfake porn points to a fundamental problem: AI can make it, but can’t police it, by Jeremy Kahn

GM stock defies EV panic to surge 7%; CEO Mary Barra urges ‘level playing field’ after Musk comments on China, by Dylan Sloan

A language dies every 2 weeks. AI can help save them from digital extinction–or accelerate their demise, by Karthik Chidambaram (Commentary)

Apple hasn’t complied with a court order to open its App Store to allow outside payment options, Fortnite maker Epic Games tells judge, by Bloomberg

BEFORE YOU GO

Robot wars. Wired has a fascinating piece about how Ukraine’s battlefields are playing host to unprecedented clashes between robots, with aerial drones attacking unmanned ground vehicles.

On the plus side, people aren’t getting killed here—as national security consultant Zachary Kallenborn told the publication, “no one really cares if the ground vehicle gets destroyed, except the accountants.” But, as he also noted: “I think we’re going to see an increasing shift toward targeting operators and support structures, rather than targeting the drones themselves.”

This is the web version of Data Sheet, a daily newsletter on the business of tech. Sign up to get it delivered free to your inbox.

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