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The Pentagon said Iran War costs $29 billion, but the real cost is closer to $200 billion—and counting

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The Pentagon said Iran War costs $29 billion, but the real cost is closer to $200 billion—and counting

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After forcing workers back to the office, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase are now letting their staff work remotely—but only for the World Cup

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Amazon's record Prime Day masks a darker truth: Americans are spending more and getting less
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‘Sapiens’ author Yuval Noah Harari warns that A.I. could erode trust and kill all democracies: ‘Maybe dictatorships will be able to manage somehow’

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Peter Vanham
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July 11, 2023, 6:09 AM ET
Professor Yuval Noah Harari, author and Professor of History at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, speaks about themes from his new book 'Homo Deus: A Brief History of Tomorrow' on September 8, 2016 at the Dancehouse Theatre as part of the Manchester Literature Festival in Manchester, England. (Photo by Jonathan Nicholson/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
Yuval Noah Harari want to impose strict penalties on developers of runaway A.I. Jonathan Nicholson—NurPhoto via Getty Images
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Good morning, 

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Does anyone still doubt Alan’s assessment late last year that the advent of generative A.I. would prove to be the most important news event of 2023? 

Not Klaus Schwab of the World Economic Forum. I caught up with my former boss at his offices in Cologny, Geneva, yesterday, and he told me he hardly has time for anything else. A.I. completely dominates his agenda, he told me, including when talking to Silicon Valley luminaries. 

And not the United Nations either. The UN’s telecommunications arm organized an “A.I. for Good” summit late in Geneva last week, and at it, philosopher and Sapiens author Yuval Noah Harari told The Atlantic’s Nick Thompson what he believes to be A.I.’s most imminent threat to society. 

Rather than warning broadly about “the risk of extinction,” he pointed to A.I.’s standout quality as the first tool in human history that can make decisions and come up with ideas on its own.  

He specifically warned of the risk posed by A.I. bots. “If you can’t know who is a real human and who is a fake human, trust will collapse, and with it, at least free society. Maybe dictatorships will be able to manage somehow, but not democracies.”

His proposed solutions include prison sentences of up to 20 years for A.I. developers who create bots and allow them to run wild, as well as minimum investment requirements in A.I. safety by those who develop it. 

Given all this A.I. angst, I’d like to submit an entry for Alan’s summer reading list: Mary Shelley’s Frankenstein. 

Written just a few hundred yards away from my own offices on Lake Geneva, Shelley captures the similar feelings of fear and awe that many people harbored toward technological progress during the industrial revolution of the early 19th Century. 

Shelley warns of what might happen if innovators don’t think through the unintended consequences of their inventions. In Frankenstein’s dark romantic world, the monster’s creation led to the wrongful execution of his friend’s servant and to the murder of his wife. The lesson is clear: don’t just innovate, make sure your inventions are safe. 

But there’s a deeper lesson too. For all the fear of monsters, it wasn’t a Frankenstein-like creature that led to the greatest suffering in the 19th and early 20th centuries. It was unequal access to technology’s riches and the very deliberate human decisions to wage war on one another, both militarily and in terms of trade.  

On a separate note, if you’d like to learn more about a far more benign human creation, tune in to Alan and Michal Lev-Ram’s Leadership Next interview with Mattel CEO Ynon Kreiz on Spotify or Apple Podcasts. On the podcast, Kreiz talks about how Mattel’s most famous invention, Barbie, is going from strength to strength, and how she successfully—and harmlessly, I should add—made the move to the big screen. 

More news below.

Peter Vanham
peter.vanham@fortune.com
@petervanham

TOP NEWS

Foxconn changes its mind

Apple supplier Foxconn is pulling out of a nearly $20 billion chipmaking joint venture with Indian metals and energy company Vedanta. The decision deals a blow to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s drive to turn the country into a chipmaking hub. Vedanta, a newcomer to chipmaking, now owns its foundry outright. Reuters

FedNow

Banking analysts are worried that a soon-to-be-launched instant payments service from the Federal Reserve could put mid-size banks at risk. The FedNow service, planned for a late July release, will allow quick and round-the-clock transactions, unlike traditional transfers. Yet giving customers the option to transfer cash outside of business hours could put banks at risk of deposit flight, which helped sink three banks earlier this year. The Wall Street Journal

Overtaking the U.S.

India will overtake the U.S. economy by 2075, putting it in second place behind China, predicts Goldman Sachs. The investment bank suggests that India’s booming working-age population will help drive the country’s economy over the next few decades. While India overtook China as the most populous country earlier this year, India has struggled to find enough jobs for its young workforce. CNBC  

AROUND THE WATERCOOLER

Companies are tapping managers to support employees’ mental health. Some argue it’s an unfair burden by Paige McGlauflin

Cloudflare CEO says ‘exclusionary’ culture hurts Utah’s tech status, but admits Mormon missionaries grow up to be great salespeople: ‘you’re selling the toughest thing in the world’ by Kylie Robison

Former AT&T CEO Randall Stephenson resigns from PGA Tour board, saying he can’t ‘in good conscience’ support Saudi deal by Chris Morris

Gen Z is so lacking in soft skills after lockdown that Big 4 consultants are offering classes to help new hires fit in at work by Paolo Confino 

CVS, Nubank, and the Body Shop have all made Fortune’s Change the World list. Which companies will be next? by Emma Hinchliffe and Claire Zillman

Meta won’t have to pull Facebook and Instagram out of Europe after all—at least, not for now by David Meyer

This edition of CEO Daily was curated by Nicholas Gordon. 

This is the web version of CEO Daily, a newsletter of must-read insights from Fortune CEO Alan Murray. Sign up to get it delivered free to your inbox.

About the Authors
By Peter VanhamEditorial Director, Leadership
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Peter Vanham is editorial director, leadership, at Fortune.

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Nicholas Gordon
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Nicholas Gordon is an Asia editor based in Hong Kong, where he helps to drive Fortune’s coverage of Asian business and economics news.

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