Airlines for America (A4A) forecasts that 51 million passengers will fly on U.S. airlines globally during the 21-day period from Dec. 15 to Jan. 4, up nearly 3.5% from the year prior.

Airlines will welcome a boost to their bottom lines this quarter as significantly higher operating expenses have weighed on profits in recent months.

U.S. carriers have made headlines over the last year for substantial pay increases awarded to pilots and flight attendants. The pay bumps have been a sore spot for investors, who fear that airlines’ labor costs are rising more quickly than profits.

American Airlines (AAL) is in a particularly vulnerable position. The carrier disclosed late last month that a system error had awarded too much December vacation time to too many pilots.

American struck an agreement with its pilots union to pay out twice the hourly rate to cover thousands of otherwise pilotless flights.

The carrier had already upset investors earlier in the year by awarding a surprise mid-contract pay increase to pilots and flight attendants, at a projected cost of nearly $1 billion over three years.

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The busy holiday period, however, will allow airlines to cushion some of the blow from higher expenses.

A4A said it expects the busiest travel days to land on Dec. 21, 22 and 26.

The trade group said the lightest travel days will be Dec. 16, 24, 25 and 31.

The group credited “affordable fares and expanded route options” for the bump and said that increased competition among carriers has given consumers more flight options.