• Home
  • Latest
  • Fortune 500
  • Finance
  • Tech
  • Leadership
  • Lifestyle
  • Rankings
  • Multimedia

Trendingnow

1

Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster

2

MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year

3

Now worth $200 million, Sarah Jessica Parker credits being ‘one of eight kids that struggled financially’ for her hunger, ambition, and work ethic

1

Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster

2

MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year

3

Now worth $200 million, Sarah Jessica Parker credits being ‘one of eight kids that struggled financially’ for her hunger, ambition, and work ethic
Finance

Retirement Guide 2011 stocks: How we picked them

By
Jon Birger
Jon Birger
and
Scott Cendrowski
Scott Cendrowski
Down Arrow Button Icon
By
Jon Birger
Jon Birger
and
Scott Cendrowski
Scott Cendrowski
Down Arrow Button Icon
May 26, 2011, 9:00 AM ET
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Retirement investing is about succeeding over the long run. We’ve identified powerful, durable themes to construct a portfolio that is built to last.



FORTUNE — A decade ago, the biggest challenge for retirement savers was resisting the urge to take one ride too many on the stock-market roller coaster. Today many won’t even climb onboard. Still spooked by the 2008 meltdown (not to mention last decade’s tech crash), they have made ultradefensive investments such as bonds and gold into scalding-hot favorites.

Since 2008 there have been $280 billion in net redemptions from stock mutual funds, vs. $645 billion in net sales of bond funds, according to the Investment Company Institute. Assets in the two largest exchange-traded gold funds have jumped from $20 billion to $64 billion.

That movement could have dire effects over time. Gold and bonds have been big winners lately, but from 1802 through 2007 they recorded returns of 0.1% and 3.5% a year after inflation, respectively, according to professor Jeremy Siegel of the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business. That compares to 6.8% for stocks. Says Tom Latta, who oversees retirement investment strategies for Bank of America Merrill Lynch: “One thing we hear a lot from financial advisers is that clients have a certain lifestyle that their portfolio probably can’t sustain for the entire period they’re going to live.”

In short, it’s time to buy equities again. But how to avoid the portfolio-scorching disasters of the past decade? One way is to think big. Sure, it’s devilishly difficult to predict the next category-creating product, much less uncover the next Google (GOOG). But there are a handful of things you can predict: the big trends that will drive business — and stocks — over the long term.

So we set out not to find surprises, but to zero in on those long-term forces that are so powerful, so broad, and so inexorable that they’ll drive markets for years and years. We canvassed research reports, scrutinized data, and interviewed economists, fund managers, and other experts, settling on five factors that we think will have dramatic effects: global population growth; the rise of the spending class in emerging-markets countries; the continuing explosion in cloud and mobile computing; the return of inflation; and the renewed importance of dividends.

These five themes inform the 25 individual picks we made. We envision them as buy-and-hold stalwarts that you can retire on. But a word of caution. Even being right about a broad trend doesn’t ensure a stock’s success. “Go back 10 years. Everyone’s long-term story was telecom and tech,” says Richard Bernstein, chief executive of investment adviser RBA. “Everything they said about the new economy has become true. But if you bought the Nasdaq back then, you’re still down around 40%.”

To avoid a similar fate, we’ve emphasized low to moderate valuation in most of our selections. We’ve also targeted stocks with key advantages, such as brand allegiance or high barriers to entry for competitors. The 25 companies may not be the highest fliers, but we think they have the best shots at sustained success.

We’re not recommending you move all your retirement money into equities. Appropriate asset allocations will always vary depending upon age and lifestyle. Our point is that as irrational exuberance has given way to overblown trepidation, stocks have become underappreciated and underutilized. Consider our 25 picks a guidepost for diving back in.

5 big trends and 25 stocks you need to know now

  • 5 stocks for a population boom
    More people will consume more goods. Here are five companies that stand to profit from rising commodities prices.
  • 5 stocks for the world’s new spenders
    As middle-class populations spread across the world, their buying power is growing. Here are five companies that are tapped in to global markets.
  • 5 stocks for cloud computing
    As data moves from the desktop to the aether, here are five companies set to ride the cloud.
  • 5 stocks for rising inflation
    Prices have been manageable so far, but wait until jobs get back on track. Here are five companies that know how to hedge against inflation.
  • 5 stocks with solid dividends
    They may not be the hottest stocks, but they are the most reliable. Here are five companies that give cash back to their investors.
About the Authors
By Jon Birger
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
By Scott Cendrowski
See full bioRight Arrow Button Icon
Add Fortune on Google for similar content.

Latest in Finance

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025

Most Popular

Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Finance
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam
By Fortune Editors
October 20, 2025
Fortune Secondary Logo
Rankings
  • 100 Best Companies
  • Fortune 500
  • Global 500
  • Fortune 500 Europe
  • Most Powerful Women
  • World's Most Admired Companies
  • See All Rankings
  • Lists Calendar
Sections
  • Finance
  • Fortune Crypto
  • Features
  • Leadership
  • Health
  • Commentary
  • Success
  • Retail
  • Mpw
  • Tech
  • Lifestyle
  • CEO Initiative
  • Asia
  • Politics
  • Conferences
  • Europe
  • Newsletters
  • Personal Finance
  • Environment
  • Magazine
  • Education
Customer Support
  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • Customer Service Portal
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms Of Use
  • Single Issues For Purchase
  • International Print
Commercial Services
  • Advertising
  • Fortune Brand Studio
  • Fortune Analytics
  • Fortune Conferences
  • Business Development
  • Group Subscriptions
About Us
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • About Us
  • Press Center
  • Work At Fortune
  • Terms And Conditions
  • Site Map
  • Facebook icon
  • Twitter icon
  • LinkedIn icon
  • Instagram icon
  • Pinterest icon

Latest in Finance

Forget the ceasefire — The U.S. and Iran are still exchanging attacks over the Strait of Hormuz as Tehran tries to shut down a competing route
Middle EastIran
Forget the ceasefire — The U.S. and Iran are still exchanging attacks over the Strait of Hormuz as Tehran tries to shut down a competing route
By Jason MaJune 27, 2026
5 hours ago
Atlanta Fed chief selection delay gives Warsh a say
BankingFederal Reserve
Atlanta Fed chief selection delay gives Warsh a say
By Jonnelle Marte, Saleha Mohsin and BloombergJune 27, 2026
8 hours ago
SpaceX, Charter discussed mobile phone partnership in U.S.
North Americaspace
SpaceX, Charter discussed mobile phone partnership in U.S.
By Kelcee Griffis and BloombergJune 27, 2026
8 hours ago
S&P keeps U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlook
EconomyDebt
S&P keeps U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlook
By Michael Mackenzie and BloombergJune 27, 2026
8 hours ago
erik
AIJobs
‘It’s not going away’: The Stanford economist who called the AI entry-level jobs crisis early has the receipts
By Nick LichtenbergJune 27, 2026
8 hours ago
The 30-year fixed mortgage was supposed to be predictable. Two costs quietly broke that promise
Real EstateHousing
The 30-year fixed mortgage was supposed to be predictable. Two costs quietly broke that promise
By Sydney LakeJune 27, 2026
11 hours ago

Most Popular

Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster
Success
Philanthropy leader at Warren Buffett and Bill Gates’ Giving Pledge says children of billionaires are pushing them to give their wealth away faster
By Preston ForeJune 27, 2026
12 hours ago
MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year
Success
MacKenzie Scott alone accounted for one-third of America's $19.2 billion in megagifts last year
By Sydney LakeJune 25, 2026
3 days ago
Now worth $200 million, Sarah Jessica Parker credits being ‘one of eight kids that struggled financially’ for her hunger, ambition, and work ethic
Success
Now worth $200 million, Sarah Jessica Parker credits being ‘one of eight kids that struggled financially’ for her hunger, ambition, and work ethic
By Orianna Rosa RoyleJune 24, 2026
4 days ago
Ray Dalio just finished a 10-day trip to China. He says global leaders know America ‘doesn’t have what it takes to fight to maintain its empire’
Asia
Ray Dalio just finished a 10-day trip to China. He says global leaders know America ‘doesn’t have what it takes to fight to maintain its empire’
By Nick LichtenbergJune 24, 2026
3 days ago
Current price of silver as of Friday, June 26, 2026
Personal Finance
Current price of silver as of Friday, June 26, 2026
By Joseph HostetlerJune 26, 2026
1 day ago
The 33-year-old executive Satya Nadella is trusting to fix Microsoft’s Copilot AI assistant
AI
The 33-year-old executive Satya Nadella is trusting to fix Microsoft’s Copilot AI assistant
By Sebastian HerreraJune 27, 2026
13 hours ago

© 2026 Fortune Media IP Limited. All Rights Reserved. Use of this site constitutes acceptance of our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy | CA Notice at Collection and Privacy Notice | Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information
FORTUNE is a trademark of Fortune Media IP Limited, registered in the U.S. and other countries. FORTUNE may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. Offers may be subject to change without notice.